Franchise intelligence
The franchises that fail the most
Failure measured the hard way: the share of each brand's FY2020–23 SBA loans that lenders charged off. No surveys, no franchisor marketing — funded loans that went bad. Brands need 40+ loans to be ranked. Looking for the safest brands instead? → Also: failure by state · failure by bank.
Highest failure rates by brand
1.Nurse Next Door40 loans · typical deal $150K32.26% failed
2.Aire Serv86 loans · typical deal $275K25.93% failed
3.Mr. Appliance75 loans · typical deal $150K23.08% failed
4.Homewatch CareGivers45 loans · typical deal $150K21.05% failed
5.Pro-Lift Garage Doors53 loans · typical deal $150K20% failed
6.360 Painting76 loans · typical deal $150K17.86% failed
7.Restoration 160 loans · typical deal $150K16.67% failed
8.Glass Doctor46 loans · typical deal $150K16% failed
9.The Grounds Guys166 loans · typical deal $150K15.79% failed
10.Spray Net42 loans · typical deal $150K15.63% failed
11.Sam the Concrete Man107 loans · typical deal $150K14% failed
12.Rainbow International89 loans · typical deal $150K13.85% failed
13.College Hunks Hauling Junk111 loans · typical deal $150K12.09% failed
14.Farmers Insurance Agent Appointment Agreement55 loans · typical deal $217K11.63% failed
15.Mobility Plus51 loans · typical deal $150K11.54% failed
16.JDog Junk Removal & Hauling40 loans · typical deal $150K11.43% failed
17.Gatsby Glass45 loans · typical deal $348K10.53% failed
18.Simple Simon's Pizza54 loans · typical deal $253K10.42% failed
19.Waxing the City79 loans · typical deal $425K10.34% failed
20.Bricks & Minifigs109 loans · typical deal $206K10% failed
21.ComForCare Home Care43 loans · typical deal $150K10% failed
22.Mosquito Joe76 loans · typical deal $150K9.8% failed
23.Schooley Mitchell49 loans · typical deal $150K9.09% failed
24.FirstLight HomeCare41 loans · typical deal $150K9.09% failed
25.Minuteman Press84 loans · typical deal $290K8.89% failed
Every brand links to its full record — costs, lenders, locations, and recent deals. Sort every scored brand by failure rate →
Riskiest industries
Brand risk often starts with the category. The same FY2020–23 cohort, by sector:
| Industry | Failure rate | Recent loans |
|---|---|---|
| Transportation & logistics | 5.04% | 891 |
| Wholesale & distribution | 3.53% | 996 |
| Construction & trades | 3.18% | 3,547 |
| Facilities & business services | 2.95% | 1,709 |
| Education & training | 2.86% | 494 |
| Professional services | 2.84% | 2,675 |
| Recreation & fitness | 2.68% | 1,198 |
| Retail | 2.61% | 2,931 |
| Media & software | 2.52% | 242 |
| Real estate services | 2.49% | 560 |
| Repair & personal services | 2.36% | 2,744 |
| Restaurants & hospitality | 2.1% | 3,589 |
Does deal size predict failure?
Under $350K
3.79%
weighted failure rate · 1477 brands
$350K – $1.5M
1.11%
weighted failure rate · 1456 brands
Over $1.5M
0.32%
weighted failure rate · 526 brands
Cheap to enter usually means cheap to copy. Brands with bigger typical deals tend to fail less — more capital at closing, stronger operators, and territory that means something. The pattern shows up consistently in the loan data.
Common questions
What does a franchise failure rate mean here?
The share of a brand's FY2020–23 SBA loans that were charged off — the lender gave up on collecting. Loans newer than 2023 are too young to score, so they're excluded. A charge-off usually means the business failed.
What's a normal franchise failure rate?
Under 1% of SBA loans charged off is excellent. 1–3% is normal. Above 3% deserves hard questions before you sign anything — ask the franchisor directly why deals fail.
Does a high failure rate mean I shouldn't buy the franchise?
Not by itself. Failure concentrates in weak locations and undercapitalized buyers. But a brand failing at 3x the rate of its competitors is telling you something about unit economics, support, or saturation.
CapBench analysis of public SBA lending records. Failure = charge-off rate on the FY2020–23 loan cohort; newer loans are too young to score.
AI summary
This page ranks the franchise brands with the highest SBA loan failure rates, measured as the share of each brand's FY2020–23 7(a) loans that lenders charged off — funded deals that went bad, not survey data. It also breaks failure down by industry sector and by deal size, showing that cheaper-to-enter brands tend to fail more often. Brands need 40+ loans to be ranked, and it's built for buyers pressure-testing a franchise before they commit. This is general information, not legal, tax, or financial advice, and CapBench is not a lender.
Source: CapBench SBA Intelligence, based on public SBA, lender, franchise, FDIC, and related records. CapBench is not a lender and does not guarantee financing.
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